Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest Figure Analysis for Conflict and Violence

IDMC’s estimate of the total number of IDPs in Abyei Area is based on two intention surveys carried out by IOM in Abathok and Agok in April and November 2017. Based on an analysis of the IOM DTM data, IDMC subtracted the estimated number of households that consider themselves to be locally integrated in their area of displacement according to the survey, but included those IDPs newly displaced in 2018.

IDMC’s estimate of the number of new displacements in 2018 is based on an analysis of data from the IOM DTM event tracker, which primarily identified incidents of displacement triggered by armed attacks in Abyei Town in mid-July 2018.

Download figure analysis for 2018 (PDF, 269 KB)

Download figure analysis for 2017 (PDF, 554 KB)