Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest GRID confidence assessment
Displacement type IDPs (Stock) New Displacement (Flow)
Reporting units
Media monitoring
Geographical disaggregation Country/territory - admin 0 Admin 2 or more
Geographical coverage Unknown Unknown
Frequency of reporting No update No update
Disaggregation on sex No No
Disaggregation on age No No
Data triangulation No Triangulation No Triangulation
Data on settlement elsewhere No No
Data on returns No No
Data on local integration No No
Data on deaths No No
Data on births No No

Latest figures analysis

IDMC's stock estimate is based on a 1997 UNFPA figure of people left internally displaced after the civil war. While the figure is decaying and should not be taken into account for much longer, IDMC has not found any information that would allow these people to be taken off the stock. The new displacements estimate is based on media reports of people displaced by government evictions. In order to avoid double counting IDMC does not add new displacements to the total stock figure.

Download GRID extended figures analysis (PDF, 393 KB)

Latest GRID stock figure by year of data update

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