Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest GRID confidence assessment
Displacement type New Displacement (Flow) IDPs (Stock)
Reporting units
Percentage of population
Media monitoring
Media monitoring
Geographical disaggregation Admin 2 or more Admin 2 or more
Geographical coverage Partial coverage Partial coverage
Frequency of reporting Other Other
Disaggregation on sex No No
Disaggregation on age No No
Data triangulation Some local triangulation Some local triangulation
Data on settlement elsewhere No No
Data on returns No No
Data on local integration No No
Data on deaths No No
Data on births No No

Latest figures analysis

The new displacement estimate was based on on media reports, IFRC assessments and National Drought Management Authority reports. Due to limited reporting on internal displacement, IDMC considers the figure to be an underestimate. The stock figure is based on a combination of IOM assessments from 2015 as well as new displacements reported in 2017. Most displacements in Kenya were triggered by inter-communal violence, cattle rustling and conflict over resources.

Download GRID extended figures analysis (PDF, 347 KB)

Latest GRID stock figure by year of data update

Related material