Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest GRID confidence assessment
Displacement type Returnees (Stock) New Displacement (Flow) IDPs (Stock)
Reporting units
Media monitoring
Media monitoring
Geographical disaggregation Subnational - admin 1 Admin 2 or more Subnational - admin 1
Geographical coverage Partial coverage Partial coverage Partial coverage
Frequency of reporting Other Other No update
Disaggregation on sex No No No
Disaggregation on age No No No
Data triangulation No Triangulation Some local triangulation Some local triangulation
Data on settlement elsewhere No No No
Data on returns Yes No No
Data on local integration No No No
Data on deaths No No No
Data on births No No No

Latest figures analysis

The bulk of our 2017 estimate is based on data provided by the UN Relief and Work Agency for Palestinian Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) on Palestinain refugees displaced from Nahr-el-Bared camp in Lebanon as of the end of 2016, as a result of the conflict between the Lebanese army and Fath-al-Islam in 2007. No further update could be obtained. New displacement estimate refers to people displaced by clashes in Ain al-Hilweh camp in August.

Download GRID extended figures analysis (PDF, 345 KB)

Latest GRID stock figure by year of data update

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