Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest GRID confidence assessment
Displacement type Returnees (Stock) New Displacement (Flow) IDPs (Stock)
Reporting units
Key informants
Key informants
Media monitoring
Key informants
Media monitoring
Geographical disaggregation Subnational - admin 1 Subnational - admin 1 Subnational - admin 1
Geographical coverage All relevant areas covered All relevant areas covered All relevant areas covered
Frequency of reporting Every month More than once a month Every month
Disaggregation on sex No No Yes
Disaggregation on age No No Yes
Data triangulation Some local triangulation Some local triangulation No Triangulation
Data on settlement elsewhere Yes No Yes
Data on returns Yes No Yes
Data on local integration Yes No Yes
Data on deaths No No No
Data on births No No No

Latest figures analysis

IDMC bases its estimate on data provided by IOM DTM reports. In 2017, the number of returnees exceeded the number of IDPs, reflecting an overall decrease in the intesity of clashes. Major displacement events occured in last quarter of 2017 in the coastal city of Sabratha.

Download GRID extended figures analysis (PDF, 286 KB)

Latest GRID stock figure by year of data update

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