Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest GRID confidence assessment
Displacement type Returnees (Stock) IDPs (Stock) New Displacement (Flow)
Reporting units
Percentage of population
Geographical disaggregation Country/territory - admin 0 Subnational - admin 1 Subnational - admin 1
Geographical coverage All relevant areas covered All relevant areas covered All relevant areas covered
Frequency of reporting Every month Every month Every month
Disaggregation on sex Partial No No
Disaggregation on age Partial No No
Data triangulation No Triangulation No Triangulation No Triangulation
Data on settlement elsewhere No No No
Data on returns Yes Yes No
Data on local integration No No No
Data on deaths No No No
Data on births No No No

Latest figures analysis

IDMC bases its estimates on data provided by the Population Movement Commission (CMP), which reports on displacements triggered by the 2012 conflict, as well as clashes periodically occurring since 2014. The CMP is composed of many agencies, such as UN HCR, IOM, OCHA WFP, UNICEF, as well as NGOs, including NRC. It compiles the data collected and treated by these agencies at national level.

Download GRID extended figures analysis (PDF, 417 KB)

Latest GRID stock figure by year of data update

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