Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest GRID confidence assessment
Displacement type Returnees (Stock) New Displacement (Flow) IDPs (Stock)
Reporting units
Percentage of population
Media monitoring
Media monitoring
Geographical disaggregation Country/territory - admin 0 Subnational - admin 1 Subnational - admin 1
Geographical coverage Unknown Partial coverage Partial coverage
Frequency of reporting Unknown Other Other
Disaggregation on sex No No No
Disaggregation on age No No No
Data triangulation Some local triangulation No Triangulation No Triangulation
Data on settlement elsewhere No No No
Data on returns Yes No No
Data on local integration Partial No No
Data on deaths No No No
Data on births No No No

Latest figures analysis

IDMC’s estimate include those displaced following inter-communal conflict among flood survivors. Based on documentation from the Nepal Peace Trust Fund in 2012, the 50,000 IDPs reported in GRID 2017 have been 'rehabilitated', and, as a result, IDMC did not include this figure in this year's estimate. However it is still to be determined whether all IDPs have reached a durable solution to their displacement.

Download GRID extended figures analysis (PDF, 281 KB)

Latest GRID stock figure by year of data update

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