Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest Figure Analysis for Conflict and Violence

IDMC’s estimate of the total number of IDPs in Turkey includes two groups, people living in protracted displacement since the Turkish-Kurdish conflict in the 1990s, and those displaced when their housing was destroyed during a new flare up of the conflict and related security operations in the southeastern Anatolia region in 2015 and 2016. IDMC’s estimate for the first group is based on data published by Hacettepe University in 2006. IDMC identified the latter caseload through the transcript of a Grand National Assembly session in November 2018, in which officials mentioned the number of houses destroyed during security operations in Cizre, Diyarbakir Sur, Hakkâri, Idil, Mardin Nusaybin, Silopi, Sirnak centre and Yüksekova.

Download figure analysis for 2018 (PDF, 284 KB)

Download figure analysis for 2017 (PDF, 270 KB)

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