Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest Figure Analysis for Conflict and Violence

IDMC’s estimate of the total number of IDPs in Honduras is based on data obtained from UNHCR. UNHCR’s projection of the number of IDPs was calculated from the average annual number of people displaced from 2004 to 2014, reported in a profiling exercise conducted by the Honduran Inter-Agency Commission for the Protection of Persons Displaced by Violence in 2015. The exercise was updated in 2018 but the report and methodology have not been published as of IDMC’s reporting.

IDMC’s estimate of the number of new displacements in 2018 is based on the latest report by the National Commissioner for Human Rights (CONADEH), published in March 2019, which includes information on at least 950 people who reported themselves to authorities in 2018 as displaced, mostly by criminal violence.

Download figure analysis for 2018 (PDF, 258 KB)

Download figure analysis for 2017 (PDF, 335 KB)

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