Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest Figure Analysis for Conflict and Violence

IDMC’s estimate of the total number of IDPs in Kenya concerns several caseloads and is based on data from various sources including the government’s National Drought Management Authority (NDMA), IOM, local media, NGOs and civil society organisations. The figure includes people displaced by election-related violence in 2007, 2008 and 2017 and people displaced by inter-communal violence, resource conflicts and al-Shabaab attacks in 2017 and 2018.

IDMC’s estimate of the number of new displacements in 2018 is based on data published by local media, the NDMA, and Amnesty International. IDMC considers its new displacement figure to be an underestimate because data collection is limited in its geographic scope and regularity.

IDMC considers the 780 people displaced by a land dispute and then ordered to return to the Eastern Mau forest to have achieved an unverified solution because no information was available to confirm that they had returned or the conditions they faced.

Download figure analysis for 2018 (PDF, 269 KB)

Download figure analysis for 2017 (PDF, 347 KB)

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