Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest Figure Analysis for Conflict and Violence

IDMC’s estimate of the total number of IDPs in Libya is based primarily on IOM DTM reports and refers to people displaced by the country’s armed conflict. IDMC includes in its total figure the number of people who tried but failed to return, which was estimated based on an analysis of IOM DTM data on returnees.

IDMC’s estimate of the number of new displacements in 2018 is based on an analysis of events reported on by IOM DTM through its event tracker, the protection cluster and ACLED. Most of these movements were triggered by conflict between the Libyan military forces and militias as well as clashes between different militias.

IDMC’s estimates of partial solutions are based on an analysis of IOM DTM reports on returnees and corresponds to the number of returnees who are living in their former or new homes, temporary accommodation and other types of shelter.

Download figure analysis for 2018 (PDF, 274 KB)

Download figure analysis for 2017 (PDF, 286 KB)

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