Risk of future displacement

Average expected number of displacements per year – for sudden-onset hazards:

IDMC uses information about the probability of future hazard scenarios to model displacement risk based on probable housing destruction. Find out how we calculate our metrics here and explore the likelihood of future displacement around the world here.

Latest Figure Analysis for Conflict and Violence

IDMC’s estimates of the total number of IDPs in Niger and the number of new displacements in 2018 are primarily based on data reported by the government, obtained through surveys conducted by local authorities. The data covers the south-eastern region of Diffa, which borders Lake Chad and has been severely affected by the Boko Haram insurgency. IDMC’s estimates also reflect information obtained from the protection cluster about displacement caused by attacks in Tillabéri and Tahoua as a result of spill-over violence from Mali. IDMC’s estimate of the total number of IDPs also accounts for Nigerien refugees whom the government reported as having returned to displacement camps in the country.

Download figure analysis for 2018 (PDF, 257 KB)

Download figure analysis for 2017 (PDF, 328 KB)

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